New York Mets (@1.65) vs Cincinnati Reds (@2.2)
21-09-2019

Our Prediction:

New York Mets will win

New York Mets – Cincinnati Reds Match Prediction | 21-09-2019 19:10

Jose Peraza and Eugenio Suarez contributed RBI singles, while Derek Dietrich smashed in a run with a sacrifice fly. Tyler Mahle declined to 0-3 on the season by giving up five runs and seven hits in five plus innings. The game broke a short two-game winning streak for the Reds. Cincinnati Reds will be on the road to open a four-game series against New York Mets on Monday. On Saturday, Cincinnati was defeated by Saint Louis Cardinals with a final score of 6-3.

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Roark has pitched to a 3.24 ERA through his first five starts of the year. Hes struck out 24 and allowed just two home runs, but hes issued 11 free passes including three over five innings his last time out. His BABIP is an uncharacteristically high .370, but hes stranding 81.6 percent of baserunners. He hasnt gone more than 5 1/3 innings in a single start this year as his pitch counts have been high.

He has 211 strikeouts over the 178.2 innings he's pitched. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 506 hitters and struck out 1,469 batters. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 4.18. He also has given up 131 hits. He's allowing 6.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.63. Teams are hitting .235 against the Reds bullpen. Cincinnati has a 72-81 overall mark this year. They have given up 202 home runs this year, which ranks 19th in Major League Baseball. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.44 and they have given up 461 base hits on the year. As a team, Cincinnati allows 8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.8 batters per nine innings. Their relievers have struck out 565 batters and walked 221 opposing hitters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.8 per 9. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,203 base knocks and 629 earned runs this season. Their team WHIP is 1.26 while their FIP as a staff is 4.22. With an earned run average of 3.22, Luis Castillo has a 15-6 record and a 1.14 WHIP.

Latest Odds

The leader in home runs with seven in Jesse Winker and Yaseil Puig is the leader in RBIs with 15. Cincinnati Reds are averaging .208 at the plate and opposing hitters are holding a batting average of .235. The Reds are led by Eugenio Suarez in batting with an average of .241 along with 21 hits. Tanner Roark will be sent to the mound on Monday as the starting pitcher, the right-hander is 1-1 this season with an ERA of 3.24, 24 Ks and 11 BBs.

Scott Schebler hit a two-run double in Sunday's loss to the Cardinals. It was his only hit in four at-bats, and just his second hit in his last 32 at-bats as he's struggled mightily at the dish to start the year. The 28-year-old is hitting a paltry .139/.262/.250 overall. Schebler went up to get a breaking pitch riding in on him in the ninth inning, pulling it inside the first base bag to score two runs.

New York Mets. Final Score Prediction, New York Mets will win and cover the run line 6-4. Out of the last 53 games away from home, the Reds have last 37. Cincinnati Reds vs. The Mets have the advantage playing at home as they have won 13 of the last 16 games played at Citi Filed against the Reds. The MLB pick for this match is New York Mets -142. Additionally, they have won 21 of the last 27 games overall against Cincinnati.

The Mets have a 79-73 overall record this season. He's allowed 7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.79. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.11. He has 239 strikeouts over his 190 innings pitched and he's given up 148 hits. New York as a pitching staff has walked 475 batters and struck out 1,415. They have walked 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.3 per 9. Starting pitcher Jacob deGrom has a 9-8 record with an earned run average of 2.61 and a WHIP of 1.01 this season. As a team, New York allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. Teams are hitting .256 against the bullpen and they've struck out 519 hitters and walked 215 batters. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.33. They have allowed 190 home runs this season, ranking them 25th in the league. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 1,325 base hits and 658 earned runs. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.13 and they have given up 490 base hits on the year.

I understand New York being favored on the road, because the Mets have been playing better baseball over a longer stretch and have their ace on the mound in DeGrom. The matchup screams pitchers duel, and I wouldnt be surprised to see a 2-1 or 3-2 type game here. However, Castillo is no slouch on the other side and with the way that Cincinnatis playing lately, I think the Reds are more than capable of taking this one. Instead, Im going to side with the under.

New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds Odds & Matchup Stats

The Mets will be sending Zach Wheeler to the mound on Monday. New York Mets are holding a batting average of .260 at the plate and opposing hitters are averaging at .267. Jeff McNeil has taken the lead in batting with an average of .371 along with 33 hits and Pete Alonso is the leader in home runs with nine and RBIs 24. The right-handed pitcher is 2-2 this season with an ERA of 4.85, 33 Ks and 14 BBs.

Pete Alonso hit his first career triple in the Mets' win over the Brewers on Sunday. The rookie sensation has a terrific .306/.398/.684 batting line with 18 extra-base hits (including nine home runs) through his first 27 major league games. The ball nearly traveled over the wall in left field but instead caromed back into play, with Ryan Braun taking a spilled beer to the head. Alonso then scored on a Todd Frazier RBI single. He's up to 20 runs scored and also has 24 RBI.

Luis Castillo will start game one and is 15-6 with a 3.22 ERA and 211 strikeouts this season. The Cincinnati Reds will look to keep the momentum going down the stretch after winning five of their last seven games following a series win against the Cubs, taking Wednesdays series finale by a final score of 3-2. Amir Garrett got the win to improve to 5-3 on the year while Raisel Iglesias closed things out for his 33rd save of the season. Eugenio Suarez went 2 for 5 with a solo home run while Jose Iglesias went 3 for 5 with a double and an RBI. Tyler Mahle allowed one run on one hits while striking out three over six innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Aristides Aquino, Phillip Ervin, Curt Casali and Michael Lorenzen each had a base hit to finish off the Reds offense in victory. Alex Blandino had an RBI as well to cap off Cincinnatis scoring as a team in the win. In his career, Castillo is 1-0 with a 2.92 ERA and 14 strikeouts against the Mets.

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and producewinners on a consistent basis.

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